← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.77 |
| Greuther Furth win | 18% | 5.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.52 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 880.00 | 170.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1530.40 | 1468.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 66.81 | -26.44 |
| eye test v1 | 0.05 | 0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.08 | 0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.10 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 15.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.80 |
| league points | 45.00 | 47.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 76.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.47 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 1.38 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.85 | 25.85 |
| state index | 0.97 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.17 | -0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |