← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 57% | 1.71 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Heidenheim win | 19% | 5.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 52' | 🟨 | Ben Halloran · Heidenheim |
| 68' | 🟨 | Benjamin Kessel · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 72' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 82' | ⚽ | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 317.00 | 3543.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.60 |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.23 | 2.38 |
| elo | 1568.86 | 1462.89 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.99 | -21.03 |
| eye test v1 | 0.14 | -1.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | -0.40 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 57.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.54 |
| league points | 63.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 69.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.85 | 1.24 |
| skill v1 | -0.40 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 1.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| squad age | 25.94 | 26.80 |
| state index | 0.15 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.38 | -0.24 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |