← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Nurnberg win | 35% | 2.77 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.48 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 13' | ⚽ | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Nurnberg |
| 23' | 🟨 | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Nurnberg |
| 25' | 🟨 | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 27' | ⚽ | Jerome Kiesewetter · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 39' | 🟨 | Lukas Schmitz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 70' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 75' | ⚽ | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 83' | 🟨 | Ihlas Bebou · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 88' | ⚽ (og) | Abdelhamid Sabiri · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.48 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 74.00 | 439.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.83 | 3.30 |
| elo | 1497.15 | 1415.13 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.14 | -14.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.64 | -0.44 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.40 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.63 |
| league points | 42.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 71.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.80 | 50.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.24 | 1.15 |
| skill v1 | -0.86 | -0.49 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.71 | 28.13 |
| state index | -0.10 | -0.84 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.14 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |