← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Wolfgang Stark, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 42% | 2.32 |
| VfB Stuttgart win | 31% | 3.17 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.59 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | ⚽ | Felix Klaus · Hannover |
| 53' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 87' | 🟥 | Salif Sané · Hannover |
| 89' | 🟨 | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.45 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.43 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 74.00 | 378.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.37 | 2.72 |
| elo | 1612.49 | 1637.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.82 | 39.66 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | 1.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.70 | 52.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.74 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.73 |
| league points | 69.00 | 70.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 2.06 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.89 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 7.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.80 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 26.06 |
| state index | 0.89 | 1.03 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.29 | 0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |