← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Thomsen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
| Karlsruhe win | 19% | 5.16 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 50' | 🟨 | Serdar Dursun · Greuther Furth |
| 70' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Marcel Franke · Greuther Furth |
| 72' | 🟨 | Benedikt Gimber · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | ⚽ | Yann Rollim · Karlsruhe |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dominik Schad · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.44 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 163.00 | 126.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 3.66 |
| elo | 1482.73 | 1365.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -11.35 | -41.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.13 | -0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.45 | -0.17 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 55.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.63 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.52 |
| league points | 47.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.00 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.60 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 0.70 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.95 | 25.89 |
| state index | -0.10 | -1.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.13 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.00 |