← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, May 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 66% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 22% | 4.53 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 13% | 7.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 54' | 🟨 | Clemens Fandrich · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 66' | 🟨 | Matthias Zimmermann · VfB Stuttgart |
| 69' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 75' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 371.00 | 67.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.45 | 2.74 |
| elo | 1630.71 | 1451.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.58 | 40.95 |
| eye test v1 | 1.13 | 0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.59 |
| league points | 67.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.80 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.34 | 0.37 |
| season ppg | 2.03 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | 1.26 | 0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.00 |
| squad age | 25.52 | 26.12 |
| state index | 0.93 | 0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.49 | 0.01 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |