← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, May 6, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 24% | 4.03 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 431.00 | 1040.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.17 | 1.93 |
| elo | 1416.45 | 1430.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -21.81 | -17.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.31 | -1.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.63 |
| league points | 38.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 66.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.09 |
| skill v1 | -1.14 | -1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.67 | 25.54 |
| state index | -1.13 | -1.38 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.74 | -0.41 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |