← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, May 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35% | 2.78 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 34% | 2.88 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 31% | 3.15 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 49' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 69' | ⚽ | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 73' | 🟨 | Tim Heubach · Kaiserslautern |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lukas Görtler · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ewerton · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | ⚽ | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.69 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 338.00 | 871.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.41 | 2.60 |
| elo | 1499.63 | 1519.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 32.30 | 53.90 |
| eye test v1 | -0.29 | 0.55 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.80 | 56.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.83 |
| league points | 42.00 | 42.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.60 | 76.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.40 | 54.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.47 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.27 |
| skill v1 | -1.66 | 0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.40 |
| squad age | 25.62 | 27.44 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.88 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.01 | -0.06 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |