← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Deniz Aytekin, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 60% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.97 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 15% | 6.36 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Niclas Füllkrug · Hannover |
| 20' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
| 54' | 🟨 | Edgar Prib · Hannover |
| 61' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Hannover |
| 70' | 🟨 | Lukas Schmitz · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 73' | 🟨 | Özkan Yıldırım · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 82' | 🟨 | Arianit Ferati · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 85' | 🟨 | Salif Sané · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alexander Madlung · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 60.00 | 425.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 3.20 |
| elo | 1596.18 | 1420.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 22.86 | -29.23 |
| eye test v1 | -0.84 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.30 | 58.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.63 |
| league points | 63.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 69.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 50.40 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.19 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.35 | 26.83 |
| state index | 0.83 | -0.93 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |