← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bibiana Steinhaus, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 44% | 2.24 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
| Karlsruhe win | 28% | 3.55 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Kacper Przybyłko · Kaiserslautern |
| 14' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · Karlsruhe |
| 35' | ⚽ | David Kinsombi · Karlsruhe |
| 66' | 🟨 | Matthias Bader · Karlsruhe |
| 68' | ⚽ | Sebastian Kerk · Kaiserslautern |
| 80' | 🟨 | Sebastian Kerk · Kaiserslautern |
| 87' | ⚽ | Jacques Zoua · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 118.00 | 332.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -5.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 9.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.82 | 1.37 |
| elo | 1378.23 | 1486.71 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.99 | 21.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.53 | 0.73 |
| league points | 23.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.40 | 65.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 39.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.72 | 1.22 |
| skill v1 | 0.21 | -1.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 25.51 | 25.32 |
| state index | -1.38 | -0.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.25 | -1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.40 |