← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Apr 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 59% | 1.65 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.24 |
| Nurnberg win | 18% | 5.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 25' | ⚽ | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 27' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 33' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 47' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 50' | ⚽ | Daniel Ginczek · VfB Stuttgart |
| 65' | 🟨 | Matthias Zimmermann · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | 🟨 | Dave Bulthuis · Nurnberg |
| 90' | ⚽ | Florian Klein · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 59.00 | 363.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 4.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.02 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1494.34 | 1622.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -12.44 | 19.50 |
| eye test v1 | -0.12 | 0.87 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 39.00 | 64.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.80 | 80.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 59.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 25.21 |
| state index | -0.13 | 0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |