← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Apr 28, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Dresden win | 29% | 3.37 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Niklas Hauptmann · Dresden |
| 25' | ⚽ | Akaki Gogia · Dresden |
| 27' | 🟨 | Tom Weilandt · Bochum |
| 41' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 50' | ⚽ | Thomas Eisfeld · Bochum |
| 51' | ⚽ | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 59' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 66' | 🟨 | Andreas Lambertz · Dresden |
| 70' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 88' | ⚽ | Görkem Sağlam · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 879.00 | 667.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.87 | 2.60 |
| elo | 1405.28 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 1505.64 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 5.73 | -15.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.43 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.55 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 61.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.86 | 0.70 |
| league points | 37.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 81.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.60 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.53 |
| skill v1 | 0.16 | 0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.36 | -0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.27 | 0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |