← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Apr 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Ittrich, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 53% | 1.83 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.88 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 21% | 4.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 358.00 | 297.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.38 | 3.35 |
| elo | 1611.22 | 1586.92 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.53 | -18.52 |
| eye test v1 | 0.48 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.14 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 63.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.70 |
| league points | 61.00 | 60.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.20 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.60 | 52.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 1.97 | 1.94 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -0.40 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.26 | 25.81 |
| state index | 0.50 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |