← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Matthias Jollenbeck, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
| Nurnberg win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1027.00 | 53.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.49 | 3.31 |
| elo | 1443.34 | 1494.07 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -15.52 | -18.57 |
| eye test v1 | -1.52 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.40 | 60.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.77 |
| league points | 35.00 | 38.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 13.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 73.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.60 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.23 |
| skill v1 | -1.59 | -0.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.30 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 26.78 | 26.18 |
| state index | -1.13 | -0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | -0.07 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.00 |