← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Apr 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Bielefeld win | 32% | 3.08 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.38 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 44' | 🟨 | Ben Halloran · Heidenheim |
| 46' | ⚽ (og) | Florian Dick · Heidenheim |
| 56' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 57' | ⚽ | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 58' | ⚽ | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 60' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 61' | ⚽ | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 66' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 66' | 🟥 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 67' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 83' | 🟨 | Sören Brandy · Bielefeld |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3521.00 | 295.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.54 | 1.84 |
| elo | 1491.77 | 1445.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.59 | 38.52 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | -0.35 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.19 | 0.26 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.20 | 54.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| league points | 40.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 8.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 63.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.80 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.06 |
| skill v1 | -1.03 | -1.39 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 25.92 | 26.83 |
| state index | -0.61 | 0.07 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.53 | -0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.00 |