← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Dresden win | 35% | 2.80 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.37 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 55' | 🟨 | Andreas Hofmann · Greuther Furth |
| 64' | 🟨 | Dominik Schad · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | ⚽ (og) | Aias Aosman · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 147.00 | 660.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.40 |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 2.63 |
| elo | 1472.92 | 1499.83 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 10.63 | 14.25 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.32 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.84 | 0.68 |
| league points | 43.00 | 46.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.20 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.39 | 1.53 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.97 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.84 | 25.00 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.08 | 1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.18 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.40 |