← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Apr 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.11 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 31% | 3.17 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Fortuna Dusseldorf | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.47 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.71 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 416.00 | 857.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Merkur Spielarena |
| 5.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 7.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.75 |
| elo | 1435.78 | 1490.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -26.81 | 15.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.27 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.07 | 0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.60 | 63.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.83 |
| league points | 38.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.20 | 55.00 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.48 |
| season ppg | 1.23 | 1.16 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.20 | 26.87 |
| state index | -1.05 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.23 | -0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |