← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Mon, Apr 17, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Bielefeld win | 27% | 3.65 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | ⚽ | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
| 51' | ⚽ | Alexandru Maxim · VfB Stuttgart |
| 54' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 58' | 🟨 | Timo Baumgartl · VfB Stuttgart |
| 61' | 🟨 | Benjamin Pavard · VfB Stuttgart |
| 73' | ⚽ | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 89' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 290.00 | 351.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 4.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.84 | 2.36 |
| elo | 1452.99 | 1603.78 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 40.13 | -16.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.73 | 0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.30 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.74 |
| league points | 33.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 82.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 62.00 |
| rest days | 10.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.93 |
| skill v1 | -1.24 | 1.47 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| squad age | 26.55 | 25.25 |
| state index | 0.40 | 0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.54 | 0.70 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |