← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Karlsruhe win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.24 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 30' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 51' | 🟨 | Yann Rollim · Karlsruhe |
| 67' | ⚽ | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 82' | 🟨 | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · Heidenheim |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.54 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 105.00 | 3515.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 2.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.67 | 2.56 |
| elo | 1400.17 | 1482.41 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -42.46 | -34.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.10 | -0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.70 | 57.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.61 |
| league points | 23.00 | 37.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 8.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.40 | 69.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.77 | 1.28 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | -1.10 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 25.86 |
| state index | -1.15 | -0.95 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.65 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |