← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sven Jablonski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 45% | 2.19 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.08 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 24% | 4.11 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 852.00 | 1020.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 2.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.51 |
| elo | 1482.90 | 1450.75 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.76 | -18.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -1.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.10 | 55.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.60 |
| league points | 33.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 12.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.40 | 67.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 43.20 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.50 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.10 | 1.17 |
| skill v1 | -0.41 | -1.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 2.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.40 |
| squad age | 27.21 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.07 | -1.15 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.63 | -0.27 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.13 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |