← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 16, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Benjamin Brand, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 54% | 1.82 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.64 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 20% | 4.99 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | ⚽ | Damir Kreilach · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 28' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 68' | ⚽ | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 85' | ⚽ | Sebastian Polter · 1. FC Union Berlin |
| 88' | ⚽ | Philipp Hosiner · 1. FC Union Berlin |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.48 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 289.00 | 319.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.40 | -4.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 8.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.40 | 1.64 |
| elo | 1578.28 | 1480.91 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.68 | -10.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.97 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.51 | 0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.90 | 57.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 1.20 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.77 |
| league points | 57.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 68.20 | 68.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.60 | 46.00 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 1.14 |
| skill v1 | -0.74 | -1.06 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.54 | 25.03 |
| state index | 0.03 | -0.36 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.03 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.60 |