← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Apr 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Arne Aarnink, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 43% | 2.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Tobias Kempe · Nurnberg |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 49' | 🟥 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Nurnberg |
| 51' | ⚽ | Mario Kvesić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 63' | 🟨 | Fabian Kalig · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 82' | ⚽ | Cedric Teuchert · Nurnberg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Constant Djakpa · Nurnberg |
| 87' | 🟨 | Pascal Köpke · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 88' | 🟨 | Louis Samson · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 45.00 | 45.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.62 |
| elo | 1486.99 | 1442.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.82 | 64.63 |
| eye test v1 | -0.23 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.20 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.30 | 50.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.90 | 0.10 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.64 |
| league points | 35.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.00 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| skill v1 | 0.08 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.72 | 26.53 |
| state index | -0.40 | 0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.09 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |