← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dingert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 67% | 1.46 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.70 |
| Karlsruhe win | 13% | 7.77 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 14' | 🟨 | Gaetan Krebs · Karlsruhe |
| 27' | ⚽ | Takuma Asano · VfB Stuttgart |
| 61' | ⚽ | Takuma Asano · VfB Stuttgart |
| 74' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Karlsruhe |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.64 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 343.00 | 98.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.26 | 3.20 |
| elo | 1598.09 | 1405.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.41 | -17.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.04 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.05 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.60 | 59.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.45 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| league points | 55.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 3.94 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.18 |
| season ppg | 1.90 | 0.79 |
| skill v1 | 1.05 | -0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 24.72 | 25.63 |
| state index | -0.14 | -0.99 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.69 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.00 |