← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 40% | 2.43 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.27 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 40' | 🟨 | Dániel Nagy · FC Wurzburger Kickers |
| 53' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
| 76' | 🟨 | Florian Hübner · Hannover |
| 90' | 🟨 | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC Wurzburger Kickers | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.23 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 1011.00 | 37.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| venue | Flyeralarm Arena |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 2.62 |
| elo | 1448.34 | 1593.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -38.82 | 29.20 |
| eye test v1 | -1.36 | -1.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 59.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 13.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.52 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | 0.72 |
| league points | 34.00 | 58.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 11.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.40 | 68.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.00 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.60 | -0.60 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 27.09 |
| state index | -1.33 | 0.64 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.12 | 0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.13 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |