← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Apr 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Daniel Schlager, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Nurnberg win | 33% | 2.94 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.29 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 51' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 55' | 🟨 | Even Hovland · Nurnberg |
| 59' | 🟨 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Nurnberg |
| 65' | 🟨 | Bernd Nehrig · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 70' | ⚽ | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 71' | 🟨 | Raphael Schäfer · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.73 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 37.00 | 843.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.98 | 2.72 |
| elo | 1506.30 | 1463.59 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.72 | -9.68 |
| eye test v1 | -0.76 | -0.20 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.48 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.50 | 63.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 1.51 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.74 |
| league points | 35.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.80 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.80 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.03 |
| skill v1 | -0.64 | -0.35 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 26.45 | 26.79 |
| state index | -0.20 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.18 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 2.00 |