← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Wed, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Heidenheim win | 22% | 4.41 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Marvin Stefaniak · Dresden |
| 23' | 🟨 | Ronny Philp · Heidenheim |
| 32' | 🟨 | Aias Aosman · Dresden |
| 49' | ⚽ | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 51' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 67' | 🟨 | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 71' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 75' | ⚽ | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 86' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 644.00 | 3504.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.86 | 2.25 |
| elo | 1502.18 | 1491.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 50.91 | -29.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | -0.24 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.00 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.29 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.62 |
| league points | 42.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | 1.04 | -0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.39 | 26.54 |
| state index | 0.57 | -0.70 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.07 | -0.22 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.16 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |