← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Wed, Apr 5, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Frank Willenborg, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 40% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.16 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 29% | 3.40 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 86' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Russell Canouse · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 856.00 | 308.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | -4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 7.20 | 6.80 |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| corners for avg (last 5) |
| 4.20 |
| 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.79 | 1.65 |
| elo | 1493.57 | 1464.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 0.41 | -33.01 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.09 | -0.31 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.00 | 58.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.47 | 1.15 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.73 |
| league points | 35.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.80 | 72.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.40 | 46.60 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| season ppg | 1.30 | 1.07 |
| skill v1 | -0.04 | -0.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.04 | 25.49 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.94 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.31 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |