← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Tue, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 37% | 2.66 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.02 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 31% | 3.14 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.15 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.47 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 93.00 | 1008.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.05 | 2.78 |
| elo | 1406.39 | 1447.80 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -33.30 | -48.17 |
| eye test v1 | 0.17 | -1.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | -0.34 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 59.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.60 | — |
| league points | 22.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 10.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.19 | 0.19 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | -0.74 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 1.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| squad age | 25.35 | 26.49 |
| state index | -0.97 | -1.48 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.62 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.00 |