← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Tue, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Timo Gerach, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 37% | 2.61 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 21' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alexander Madlung · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 40' | ⚽ | Kaan Ayhan · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 68' | 🟨 | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 79' | 🟨 | Christopher Nöthe · Bielefeld |
| 83' | 🟨 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 83' | 🟥 | Marcel Sobottka · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 84' | ⚽ (pen) | Fabian Klos · Bielefeld |
| 88' | 🟨 | Florian Hartherz · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
| 90' | 🟨 | Jerome Kiesewetter · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 277.00 | 399.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 7.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.90 | 2.53 |
| elo | 1425.48 | 1438.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.49 | 0.02 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | 0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 61.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.71 | 1.06 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.65 |
| league points | 27.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.80 | 65.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 50.00 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.90 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 0.96 | 1.29 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | -1.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 27.49 | 26.89 |
| state index | 0.02 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.60 | -0.89 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |