← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Tue, Apr 4, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Rene Rohde, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 60% | 1.62 |
| Draw | 23% | 4.21 |
| Nurnberg win | 17% | 5.84 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Oliver Sorg · Hannover |
| 39' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
| 47' | ⚽ | Martin Harnik · Hannover |
| 71' | 🟨 | Patrick Kammerbauer · Nurnberg |
| 85' | 🟨 | Raphael Schäfer · Nurnberg |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sebastian Maier · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Hannover | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.18 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 34.00 | 34.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | HDI Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.57 | 2.70 |
| elo | 1587.36 | 1512.60 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.68 | -17.12 |
| eye test v1 | -0.95 | -0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.50 | 62.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.83 |
| league points | 55.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.25 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -1.17 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| squad age | 27.12 | 27.19 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.27 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | -1.02 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |