← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Sören Storks, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 48% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
| Greuther Furth win | 23% | 4.20 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Greuther Furth |
| 32' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 43' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 52' | 🟨 | Veton Berisha · Greuther Furth |
| 67' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Greuther Furth |
| 74' | 🟨 | Kevin Lankford · Heidenheim |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolai Rapp · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | Greuther Furth |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3501.00 | 128.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.25 | 2.49 |
| elo | 1510.97 | 1475.04 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -19.48 | 36.83 |
| eye test v1 | 0.09 | -0.67 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.36 | 0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.00 | 62.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.76 |
| league points | 36.00 | 39.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 65.80 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.20 | 54.40 |
| rest days | 15.96 | 14.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.31 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.44 |
| skill v1 | -1.16 | -0.28 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| squad age | 25.90 | 26.84 |
| state index | -0.42 | 0.18 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.20 | 0.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.60 |