← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Apr 2, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Gunter Perl, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 52% | 1.86 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.91 |
| Dresden win | 23% | 4.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 22' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 24' | 🟨 | Mitchell Langerak · VfB Stuttgart |
| 26' | ⚽ (pen) | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 28' | 🟨 | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 29' | ⚽ | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
| 75' | ⚽ | Emiliano Insúa · VfB Stuttgart |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Simon Terodde · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 3 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Dresden |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.46 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 336.00 | 641.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 1.00 |
| 1.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.44 | 3.56 |
| elo | 1607.69 | 1497.65 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.22 | 38.13 |
| eye test v1 | 0.08 | 0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.00 | 57.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| league points | 52.00 | 41.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 76.80 | 81.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 61.40 |
| rest days | 14.96 | 13.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.35 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.58 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | 1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 24.84 |
| state index | 0.39 | 0.72 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.51 | 1.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |