← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Markus Schmidt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 35% | 2.75 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.98 |
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 32% | 3.06 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | ⚽ | Nicky Adler · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 30' | 🟨 | Lasse Sobiech · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 35' | 🟨 | Christian Tiffert · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 81' | 🟨 | Cebio Soukou · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Erzgebirge AUE | FC St. Pauli 1910 |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.73 | 0.77 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 836.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -1.20 |
| venue | Sparkassen Erzgebirgsstadion |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.10 |
| elo | 1382.72 | 1476.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 6.89 | 31.13 |
| eye test v1 | -0.49 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.19 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.30 | 60.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 1.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.43 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.76 |
| league points | 23.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since blank | 5.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.80 | 66.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 45.40 | 45.00 |
| rest days | 11.96 | 12.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.42 | 0.45 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.07 |
| skill v1 | -0.85 | -1.30 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.96 | 27.02 |
| state index | -0.38 | 0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.61 | -1.38 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |