← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 31, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: Martin Petersen, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 52% | 1.87 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.55 |
| Karlsruhe win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 24' | ⚽ | Ylli Sallahi · Karlsruhe |
| 65' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Nurnberg |
| 67' | 🟨 | Kevin Möhwald · Nurnberg |
| 69' | 🟨 | David Kinsombi · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | 🟨 | Marvin Mehlem · Karlsruhe |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Tobias Kempe · Nurnberg |
| 80' | 🟨 | Dave Bulthuis · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Karlsruhe |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 30.00 | 89.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 7.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.67 | 3.17 |
| elo | 1506.78 | 1412.21 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -39.17 | -35.88 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 0.11 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.56 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 64.80 | 58.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.60 |
| league points | 32.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.00 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 52.40 |
| rest days | 10.96 | 11.96 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.19 | 0.81 |
| skill v1 | -1.29 | -0.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.76 | 26.25 |
| state index | -0.47 | -1.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | -0.54 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.20 |