← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Florian Heft, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Karlsruhe win | 40% | 2.44 |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf win | 30% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 22' | 🟨 | Franck Kom · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 29' | ⚽ (og) | Jordi Figueras · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 34' | 🟨 | Oliver Fink · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 42' | 🟨 | Dennis Kempe · Karlsruhe |
| 59' | 🟨 | Robin Bormuth · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jordi Figueras · Karlsruhe |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dimitrios Diamantakos · Karlsruhe |
| 89' | ⚽ | Rouwen Hennings · Fortuna Dusseldorf |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 77.00 | 383.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.80 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.31 |
| elo | 1432.20 | 1442.61 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.67 | -4.18 |
| eye test v1 | -0.07 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.13 | 0.76 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 60.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.62 | 0.63 |
| league points | 22.00 | 33.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.60 | 68.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.40 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.28 |
| season ppg | 0.85 | 1.32 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | -0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 5.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.20 |
| squad age | 25.67 | 26.47 |
| state index | -0.71 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.22 | -1.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |