← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Bastian Dankert, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 53% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.67 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 20% | 4.78 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 29' | ⚽ | Erich Berko · Dresden |
| 30' | 🟨 | Jannik Müller · Dresden |
| 40' | 🟨 | Philipp Klingmann · SV Sandhausen |
| 68' | 🟨 | Julian-Maurice Derstroff · SV Sandhausen |
| 79' | ⚽ (og) | Tim Kister · Dresden |
| 87' | 🟨 | Marvin Stefaniak · Dresden |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.53 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 627.00 | 261.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.38 | 2.23 |
| elo | 1485.58 | 1476.84 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 11.77 | -31.08 |
| eye test v1 | 0.72 | -0.60 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.43 | 0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 47.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 1.23 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.77 |
| league points | 38.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.40 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.52 | 1.40 |
| skill v1 | 1.07 | -1.31 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.09 | 27.46 |
| state index | -0.03 | -0.79 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.86 | -0.88 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |