← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 19, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bochum win | 46% | 2.11 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.42 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitriy Nazarov · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 43' | 🟨 | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Tim Hoogland · Bochum |
| 60' | 🟨 | Martin Männel · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 62' | ⚽ | Johannes Wurtz · Bochum |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mario Kvesić · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 83' | 🟨 | Dominik Wydra · Bochum |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bochum | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 839.00 | 18.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Vonovia Ruhrstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.27 | 2.45 |
| elo | 1497.40 | 1377.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.16 | 2.22 |
| eye test v1 | -0.38 | -0.29 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.23 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.50 | 52.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.69 |
| league points | 33.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 10.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 70.20 | 74.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.20 | 46.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 9.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.42 |
| season ppg | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| skill v1 | -0.30 | -0.41 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 25.56 | 26.03 |
| state index | 0.01 | -0.57 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.03 | -0.23 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |