← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Felix Zwayer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Hannover win | 35% | 2.81 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.57 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 28' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
| 58' | 🟨 | Sebastian Maier · Hannover |
| 75' | 🟨 | Christopher Buchtmann · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 88' | 🟨 | Jan-Philipp Kalla · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
| 90' | 🟨 | Aziz Bouhaddouz · FC St. Pauli 1910 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.74 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 823.00 | 17.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 3.46 |
| elo | 1475.18 | 1574.44 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.76 | -6.98 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.51 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.20 | 58.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.79 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.67 |
| league points | 28.00 | 51.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.00 | 70.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.40 | 55.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.45 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.08 | 1.96 |
| skill v1 | -1.38 | -0.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.82 | 25.43 |
| state index | 0.24 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.48 | -0.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |