β 2. Bundesliga 2016 Β· Sat, Mar 18, 03:00 PM UTC Β· ref: Alexander Sather, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.51 |
| Greuther Furth win | 25% | 3.86 |
across 1 bookmaker Β· probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | β½ | Veton Berisha Β· Greuther Furth |
| 21' | π¨ | Andreas Hofmann Β· Greuther Furth |
| 26' | π¨ | Daniel Ginczek Β· VfB Stuttgart |
| 60' | π¨ | Anto Grgic Β· VfB Stuttgart |
| 86' | π¨ | Serdar Dursun Β· Greuther Furth |
| 90' | π¨ | Simon Terodde Β· VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data Β· goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in β computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 113.00 | 321.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 2.54 |
| elo | 1462.29 | 1620.45 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 24.01 | 17.34 |
| eye test v1 | -0.74 | 0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.15 | -0.11 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.80 | 50.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 1.07 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.78 |
| league points | 36.00 | 52.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.20 | 78.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 56.40 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.08 |
| skill v1 | -0.01 | 0.65 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 26.22 | 25.04 |
| state index | 0.27 | 0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.72 | 0.60 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |