← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 17, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Thorben Siewer, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Braunschweig win | 45% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Heidenheim win | 25% | 3.97 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | ⚽ | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 33' | ⚽ | Mirko Boland · Braunschweig |
| 73' | ⚽ (pen) | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 78' | ⚽ | Christoffer Nyman · Braunschweig |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tim Kleindienst · Heidenheim |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 90' | ⚽ | Ken Reichel · Braunschweig |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Braunschweig | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3242.00 | 3485.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Eintracht-Stadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.34 | 2.47 |
| elo | 1550.93 | 1518.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 17.35 | 6.06 |
| eye test v1 | -0.24 | -0.19 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.24 | -0.80 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.70 | 58.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 0.84 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | 0.67 |
| league points | 47.00 | 36.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 67.80 | 64.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.80 | 49.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.88 | 1.44 |
| skill v1 | -1.06 | -1.21 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.13 | 25.65 |
| state index | 0.34 | -0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | -1.10 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |