← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Guido Winkmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Kaiserslautern win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Heidenheim win | 31% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 62' | 🟨 | Jacques Zoua · Kaiserslautern |
| 66' | ⚽ | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 76' | ⚽ (og) | Norman Theuerkauf · Kaiserslautern |
| 81' | 🟨 | Daniel Halfar · Kaiserslautern |
| 90' | 🟨 | Robin Koch · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Kaiserslautern | Heidenheim |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 284.00 | 3480.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Fritz-Walter-Stadion |
| 2.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.40 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.21 | 2.50 |
| elo | 1491.09 | 1517.40 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 19.60 | -5.67 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.48 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.70 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.50 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.76 | 0.70 |
| league points | 28.00 | 35.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.20 | 65.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.80 | 51.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.46 |
| skill v1 | -0.76 | -0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 25.32 | 26.94 |
| state index | 0.24 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -1.14 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.36 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.34 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.20 |