← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 12, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Lasse Koslowski, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Nurnberg win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.52 |
| Bielefeld win | 27% | 3.67 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | 🟨 | Brian Behrendt · Bielefeld |
| 35' | ⚽ | Ondřej Petrák · Nurnberg |
| 61' | 🟨 | Tom Schütz · Bielefeld |
| 64' | 🟨 | Andreas Voglsammer · Bielefeld |
| 72' | 🟨 | Reinhold Yabo · Bielefeld |
| 82' | 🟨 | Tobias Kempe · Nurnberg |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Nurnberg | Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 11.00 | 254.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Max-Morlock-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | -2.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.39 | 2.22 |
| elo | 1506.81 | 1412.86 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -60.56 | 4.59 |
| eye test v1 | 0.11 | -0.81 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.60 | -0.18 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 62.80 | 56.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.05 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.56 |
| league points | 29.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 14.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.60 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.40 | 41.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.39 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| skill v1 | -1.21 | -1.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.48 | 27.31 |
| state index | -1.09 | -0.69 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.38 | -1.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |