← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Sascha Stegemann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli 1910 win | 40% | 2.44 |
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 31% | 3.15 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.36 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 1. FC Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.56 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 815.00 | 252.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Millerntor-Stadion |
| 4.00 |
| 4.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 7.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.82 | 2.84 |
| elo | 1483.66 | 1596.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 53.54 | 40.05 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.48 | -0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.50 | 62.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.42 | 0.97 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 28.00 | 50.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 66.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 41.00 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.43 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.12 | 2.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.78 | -1.12 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | 26.87 | 27.05 |
| state index | 0.63 | 0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.82 | -0.73 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.40 |