← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 10, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Benedikt Kempkes, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| VfB Stuttgart win | 65% | 1.50 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.56 |
| Bochum win | 13% | 7.28 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Anthony Losilla · Bochum |
| 18' | 🟨 | Peniel Mlapa · Bochum |
| 22' | 🟨 | Marco Stiepermann · Bochum |
| 32' | 🟨 | Paweł Dawidowicz · Bochum |
| 70' | ⚽ | Daniel Ginczek · VfB Stuttgart |
| 72' | 🟨 | Russell Canouse · Bochum |
| 84' | 🟨 | Carlos Mané · VfB Stuttgart |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | VfB Stuttgart | Bochum |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 313.00 | 830.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Mercedes-Benz Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.41 | 3.26 |
| elo | 1625.49 | 1492.35 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.54 | -0.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.15 | -0.40 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.25 | -0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.30 | 55.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.14 | 0.47 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.79 | 0.74 |
| league points | 51.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.60 | 70.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.40 | 58.40 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 2.13 | 1.33 |
| skill v1 | 0.71 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| squad age | 24.60 | 25.74 |
| state index | 0.89 | -0.22 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.74 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |