← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kempter, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bielefeld win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.26 |
| Erzgebirge AUE win | 26% | 3.71 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ (og) | Fabian Kalig · Bielefeld |
| 4' | ⚽ | Julian Börner · Bielefeld |
| 36' | 🟨 | Christoph Hemlein · Bielefeld |
| 53' | 🟨 | — · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 57' | ⚽ (og) | Michael Görlitz · Erzgebirge AUE |
| 71' | ⚽ | Nicky Adler · Erzgebirge AUE |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bielefeld | Erzgebirge AUE |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.31 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 247.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Schüco-Arena |
| 3.00 |
| 2.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 2.57 |
| elo | 1415.96 | 1364.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.40 | -6.37 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.34 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.03 | 0.29 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.80 | 51.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.53 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.59 | 0.71 |
| league points | 22.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 70.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.44 |
| season ppg | 0.92 | 0.78 |
| skill v1 | -1.79 | -0.83 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 27.67 | 27.49 |
| state index | -0.21 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.07 | -0.69 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.60 |