← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Christian Dietz, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Heidenheim win | 46% | 2.14 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.22 |
| SV Sandhausen win | 24% | 4.05 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Jakub Kosecki · SV Sandhausen |
| 27' | ⚽ | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 30' | 🟨 | Denis Linsmayer · SV Sandhausen |
| 39' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 43' | 🟨 | Daniel Łukasik · SV Sandhausen |
| 45' | ⚽ | Arne Feick · Heidenheim |
| 52' | 🟨 | Sebastian Griesbeck · Heidenheim |
| 60' | 🟨 | Marcel Titsch-Rivero · Heidenheim |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Marc Schnatterer · Heidenheim |
| 76' | 🟨 | Mathias Wittek · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟥 | John Verhoek · Heidenheim |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Łukasik · SV Sandhausen |
| 90' | 🟥 | Daniel Łukasik · SV Sandhausen |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Heidenheim | SV Sandhausen |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.74 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 3473.00 | 247.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.70 | 2.27 |
| elo | 1502.07 |
| venue | Voith-Arena |
| 1488.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -20.23 | -15.69 |
| eye test v1 | 0.63 | -0.53 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.80 | 49.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.85 | 1.40 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| league points | 33.00 | 30.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.80 | 69.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 8.02 | 8.79 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.30 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.36 |
| skill v1 | -1.08 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.22 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.35 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |