← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sun, Mar 5, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Harm Osmers, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Greuther Furth win | 40% | 2.46 |
| Nurnberg win | 31% | 3.14 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.33 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Johannes van den Bergh · Greuther Furth |
| 45' | 🟨 | Hanno Behrens · Nurnberg |
| 47' | 🟨 | Khaled Narey · Greuther Furth |
| 52' | 🟨 | Mathis Bolly · Greuther Furth |
| 52' | 🟨 | Georg Margreitter · Nurnberg |
| 53' | 🟨 | Lukas Mühl · Nurnberg |
| 77' | ⚽ | Robert Žulj · Greuther Furth |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Greuther Furth | Nurnberg |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 100.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer |
| 2.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 2.26 |
| elo | 1449.84 | 1517.01 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 27.56 | -39.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.90 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 61.90 | 66.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.60 |
| league points | 32.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 66.40 | 67.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.60 | 47.80 |
| rest days | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.21 |
| skill v1 | -1.01 | -1.00 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.00 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| squad age | 26.25 | 25.33 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.66 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.04 | -1.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.35 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.39 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |