← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Sat, Mar 4, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Patrick Alt, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Hannover win | 44% | 2.21 |
| Karlsruhe win | 29% | 3.36 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.63 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | ⚽ | Stefan Mugoša · Karlsruhe |
| 21' | 🟨 | Grischa Prömel · Karlsruhe |
| 26' | 🟨 | Marvin Bakalorz · Hannover |
| 35' | 🟨 | Noah Joel Sarenren Bazee · Hannover |
| 37' | 🟨 | Enrico Valentini · Karlsruhe |
| 59' | 🟨 | Manuel Schmiedebach · Hannover |
| 70' | ⚽ (pen) | Dimitrios Diamantakos · Karlsruhe |
| 87' | 🟨 | Miiko Albornoz · Hannover |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Karlsruhe | Hannover |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 62.00 | 3.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | Wildparkstadion |
| 3.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 3.25 |
| elo | 1423.42 | 1583.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -40.76 | -9.88 |
| eye test v1 | 0.52 | 0.01 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.07 | -0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.60 | 63.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 1.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.64 |
| league points | 19.00 | 45.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.00 | 70.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.80 | 55.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 0.79 | 1.96 |
| skill v1 | -0.12 | -0.20 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.60 | 5.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 5.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| squad age | 26.07 | 25.83 |
| state index | -1.21 | 0.11 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.39 | -0.12 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |