← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Hartmann, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Dresden win | 47% | 2.08 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.46 |
| Kaiserslautern win | 25% | 3.93 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Kaiserslautern |
| 23' | 🟨 | Niklas Kreuzer · Dresden |
| 24' | 🟨 | Marvin Stefaniak · Dresden |
| 27' | ⚽ | Robert Glatzel · Kaiserslautern |
| 32' | ⚽ | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 45' | 🟨 | Marcel Gaus · Kaiserslautern |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 59' | 🟨 | Manuel Konrad · Dresden |
| 75' | 🟨 | Daniel Halfar · Kaiserslautern |
| 77' | ⚽ | Stefan Kutschke · Dresden |
| 81' | 🟨 | Patrick Ziegler · Kaiserslautern |
| 87' | ⚽ | Kacper Przybyłko · Kaiserslautern |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Dresden | Kaiserslautern |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 611.00 | 275.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.62 | 2.21 |
| elo | 1497.62 |
| venue | Rudolf-Harbig Stadion |
| 1417.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.70 | 20.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.36 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.00 | 62.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.34 | 0.95 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.81 |
| league points | 34.00 | 26.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.60 | 72.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 44.00 |
| rest days | 5.21 | 5.21 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| season ppg | 1.55 | 1.18 |
| skill v1 | 0.55 | -0.78 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.12 | -0.34 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.76 | -0.52 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |