← 2. Bundesliga 2016 · Fri, Mar 3, 03:00 PM UTC · ref: Robert Kampka, Germany
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| 1. FC Union Berlin win | 48% | 2.01 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.28 |
| FC Wurzburger Kickers win | 22% | 4.47 |
across 1 bookmaker · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | 1. FC Union Berlin | FC Wurzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| coach days | 245.00 | 976.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d |
| venue | An der Alten Försterei |
| 4.00 |
| 3.00 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 7.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.16 | 2.90 |
| elo | 1588.14 | 1495.98 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.52 | -41.82 |
| eye test v1 | -0.42 | -0.78 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.30 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 63.90 | 58.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.97 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.78 | 0.72 |
| league points | 47.00 | 32.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 64.60 | 65.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 45.80 |
| rest days | 6.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.96 | 1.39 |
| skill v1 | -1.15 | -1.43 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| squad age | 26.66 | 27.22 |
| state index | 0.86 | -0.92 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | -0.85 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.40 |